Antonio Bello is a Researcher at the Institute for Research in Technology (IIT) of ICAI School of Engineering at Comillas Pontifical University. Antonio holds an Industrial Engineering degree, a MSc degree in Electric Power Systems and a Ph.D. degree in Electrical Engineering from the Comillas Pontifical University-ICAI, with a dissertation about probabilistic forecasting of electricity prices, defended in 2016. Throughout his career, he has participated in over 100 research and consultancy projects dealing with operation, simulation models, planning of electricity and gas markets, energy forecasting and risk management support. Besides his research activities, he teaches time series analysis and forecasting in the energy sector. He has published numerous papers in national and international journals and conference proceedings on these topics. Antonio Bello has been a visiting researcher at London Business School (London-United Kingdom).

Areas of interest:

Risk management support, energy forecasting, energy market modelling, planning of electricity and gas markets, artificial intelligence.

Highlighted Publications

L. Montero, G. Morales-España, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "Tight and compact MILP formulation for a high-resolution of start-up costs in the medium-term unit commitment", Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks, Vol. 44, pp. 101935, December 2025. [Online: August 2025] doi: 10.1016/j.segan.2025.101935
JCR-JIF: 5,700 Q1 (2025); - SJR: 1,239 Q1 (2025);
L. Montero, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "Analyzing the computational performance of balance constraints in the medium-term unit commitment problem: tightness, compactness, and arduousness", International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems, Vol. 160, pp. 110080, September 2024. [Online: June 2024] doi: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110080
JCR-JIF: 5,000 Q1 (2024); 5,300 Q1 (2025) - SJR: 1,714 Q1 (2024); 1,482 Q1 (2025)
G. Marulanda, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "Modeling wind energy imbalance risk in medium-term generation planning models: a methodological proposal for large scale applications", International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems, Vol. 157, pp. 109889, June 2024. [Online: February 2024] doi: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.109889
JCR-JIF: 5,000 Q1 (2024); 5,300 Q1 (2025) - SJR: 1,714 Q1 (2024); 1,482 Q1 (2025)
L. Montero, A. Bello, J. Reneses, M. Rodríguez, "A computationally efficient formulation to accurately represent start-up costs in the medium-term unit commitment problem", IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 38, nº. 6, pp. 5623 - 5634, November 2023. [Online: December 2022] doi: 10.1109/TPWRS.2022.3232029
JCR-JIF: 6,500 Q1 (2023); 8,700 Q1 (2025) - SJR: 3,827 Q1 (2023); 4,217 Q1 (2025)
A. Orgaz, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "Modeling storage systems in electricity markets with high shares of renewable generation: a daily clustering approach", International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems, Vol. 137, pp. 107706, May 2022. [Online: November 2021] doi: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2021.107706
JCR-JIF: 5,200 Q1 (2022); 5,300 Q1 (2025) - SJR: 1,533 Q1 (2022); 1,482 Q1 (2025)

show 5 highlighted publications

Journal Publications

P. Mastropietro, K. Bruninx, R. Cossent, A. Bello, P. Rodilla, "Remuneration formats in support schemes for hydrogen from electrolysis: What to incentivise and why?", International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, Vol. 213, pp. 153775, February 2026. [Online: February 2026] doi: 10.1016/j.ijhydene.2026.153775
JCR-JIF: 9,200 Q1 (2025) - SJR: 1,659 Q1 (2025)
L. Montero, G. Morales-España, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "Tight and compact MILP formulation for a high-resolution of start-up costs in the medium-term unit commitment", Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks, Vol. 44, pp. 101935, December 2025. [Online: August 2025] doi: 10.1016/j.segan.2025.101935
JCR-JIF: 5,700 Q1 (2025); - SJR: 1,239 Q1 (2025);
G. Marulanda, J. Cifuentes, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "A hybrid model based on LSTM neural networks with attention mechanism for short-term wind power forecasting", Wind Engineering, Vol. 49, nº. 4, pp. 884 - 896, August 2025. [Online: August 2023] doi: 10.1177/0309524X231191163
JCR-JIF: 1,800 Q4 (2024) - SJR: 0,421 Q3 (2025); 0,421 Q3 (2025)
L. Montero, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "Analyzing the computational performance of balance constraints in the medium-term unit commitment problem: tightness, compactness, and arduousness", International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems, Vol. 160, pp. 110080, September 2024. [Online: June 2024] doi: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.110080
JCR-JIF: 5,000 Q1 (2024); 5,300 Q1 (2025) - SJR: 1,714 Q1 (2024); 1,482 Q1 (2025)
G. Marulanda, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "Modeling wind energy imbalance risk in medium-term generation planning models: a methodological proposal for large scale applications", International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems, Vol. 157, pp. 109889, June 2024. [Online: February 2024] doi: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2024.109889
JCR-JIF: 5,000 Q1 (2024); 5,300 Q1 (2025) - SJR: 1,714 Q1 (2024); 1,482 Q1 (2025)
L. Montero, A. Bello, J. Reneses, M. Rodríguez, "A computationally efficient formulation to accurately represent start-up costs in the medium-term unit commitment problem", IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 38, nº. 6, pp. 5623 - 5634, November 2023. [Online: December 2022] doi: 10.1109/TPWRS.2022.3232029
JCR-JIF: 6,500 Q1 (2023); 8,700 Q1 (2025) - SJR: 3,827 Q1 (2023); 4,217 Q1 (2025)
A. Orgaz, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "Modeling storage systems in electricity markets with high shares of renewable generation: a daily clustering approach", International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems, Vol. 137, pp. 107706, May 2022. [Online: November 2021] doi: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2021.107706
JCR-JIF: 5,200 Q1 (2022); 5,300 Q1 (2025) - SJR: 1,533 Q1 (2022); 1,482 Q1 (2025)
A. Orgaz, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "Temporal aggregation for large-scale multi-area power system models", IET Generation, Transmission & Distribution, Vol. 16, nº. 6, pp. 1108 - 1121, March 2022. [Online: December 2021] doi: 10.1049/gtd2.12354
JCR-JIF: 2,500 Q3 (2022); 2,800 Q2 (2025) - SJR: 0,981 Q1 (2022); 0,696 Q2 (2025)
L. Montero, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "A review on the unit commitment problem: approaches, techniques, and resolution methods", Energies, Vol. 15, nº. 4, pp. 1296, February 2022. [Online: February 2022] doi: 10.3390/en15041296
JCR-JIF: 3,200 Q3 (2022); 3,900 Q3 (2025) - SJR: 0,632 Q1 (2022); 0,748 Q1 (2025)
R. Marcos, D.W. Bunn, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "Short-term electricity price forecasting with recurrent regimes and structural breaks", Energies, Vol. 13, nº. 20, pp. 5452, October 2020. [Online: October 2020] doi: 10.3390/en13205452
JCR-JIF: 3,004 Q3 (2020); 3,900 Q3 (2025) - SJR: 0,598 Q2 (2020); 0,748 Q1 (2025)
J. Cifuentes, G. Marulanda, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "Air temperature forecasting using machine learning techniques: a review", Energies, Vol. 13, nº. 16, pp. 4215, August 2020. [Online: August 2020] doi: 10.3390/en13164215
JCR-JIF: 3,004 Q3 (2020); 3,900 Q3 (2025) - SJR: 0,598 Q2 (2020); 0,748 Q1 (2025)
G. Marulanda, A. Bello, J. Cifuentes, J. Reneses, "Wind power long-term scenario generation considering spatial-temporal dependencies in coupled electricity markets", Energies, Vol. 13, nº. 13, pp. 3427, July 2020. [Online: July 2020] doi: 10.3390/en13133427
JCR-JIF: 3,004 Q3 (2020); 3,900 Q3 (2025) - SJR: 0,598 Q2 (2020); 0,748 Q1 (2025)
L. Montero, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "A new methodology to obtain a feasible thermal operation in power systems in a medium-term horizon", Energies, Vol. 13, nº. 12, pp. 3056, June 2020. [Online: June 2020] doi: 10.3390/en13123056
JCR-JIF: 3,004 Q3 (2020); 3,900 Q3 (2025) - SJR: 0,598 Q2 (2020); 0,748 Q1 (2025)
A. Orgaz, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "A new model to simulate local market power in a multi-area electricity market: application to the European case", Energies, Vol. 12, nº. 11, pp. 2068, June 2019. [Online: May 2019] doi: 10.3390/en12112068
JCR-JIF: 2,702 Q3 (2019); 3,900 Q3 (2025) - SJR: 0,635 Q2 (2019); 0,748 Q1 (2025)
R. Marcos, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "Short-term electricity price forecasting with a composite fundamental-econometric hybrid methodology", Energies, Vol. 12, nº. 6, pp. 1067, March 2019. [Online: March 2019] doi: 10.3390/en12061067
JCR-JIF: 2,702 Q3 (2019); 3,900 Q3 (2025) - SJR: 0,635 Q2 (2019); 0,748 Q1 (2025)
R. Marcos, A. Bello, J. Reneses, "Electricity price forecasting in the short term hybridising fundamental and econometric modelling", Electric Power Systems Research, Vol. 167, pp. 240 - 251, February 2019. [Online: November 2018] doi: 10.1016/j.epsr.2018.10.034
JCR-JIF: 3,211 Q2 (2019); 4,300 Q2 (2025) - SJR: 1,042 Q1 (2019); 1,192 Q1 (2025)
M. Vallés, A. Bello, J. Reneses, P. Frías, "Probabilistic characterization of electricity consumer responsiveness to economic incentives", Applied Energy, Vol. 216, pp. 296 - 310, April 2018. [Online: February 2018] doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.02.058
JCR-JIF: 8,426 Q1 (2018); 12,200 Q1 (2025) - SJR: Q1 (2018); 2,864 Q1 (2025)
A. Bello, D.W. Bunn, J. Reneses, A. Muñoz, "Medium-term probabilistic forecasting of electricity prices: a hybrid approach", IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 32, nº. 1, pp. 334 - 343, January 2017. [Online: April 2016] doi: 10.1109/TPWRS.2016.2552983
JCR-JIF: 5,255 Q1 (2017); 8,700 Q1 (2025) - SJR: Q1 (2017); 4,217 Q1 (2025)
A. Bello, D.W. Bunn, J. Reneses, A. Muñoz, "Parametric density recalibration of a fundamental market model to forecast electricity prices", Energies, Vol. 9, nº. 11, pp. 959, November 2016. [Online: November 2016] doi: 10.3390/en9110959
JCR-JIF: 2,262 Q3 (2016); 3,900 Q3 (2025) - SJR: Q1 (2016); 0,748 Q1 (2025)
A. Bello, J. Reneses, A. Muñoz, A.R. Delgadillo, "Probabilistic forecasting of hourly electricity prices in the medium-term using spatial interpolation techniques", International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 32, nº. 3, pp. 966 - 980, September 2016. [Online: September 2015] doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2015.06.002
JCR-JIF: Q1 (2016); 5,700 Q1 (2025) - SJR: Q1 (2016); 2,272 Q1 (2025)
A. Bello, J. Reneses, A. Muñoz, "Medium-term probabilistic forecasting of extremely low prices in electricity markets: application to the Spanish case", Energies, Vol. 9, nº. 3, pp. 193, March 2016. [Online: March 2016] doi: 10.3390/en9030193
JCR-JIF: 2,262 Q3 (2016); 3,900 Q3 (2025) - SJR: Q1 (2016); 0,748 Q1 (2025)

show 21 journal publications

Projects

show 146 projects

Ph.D. Thesis

show 6 Ph.D. Thesis

Conference Papers

show 21 conference papers

International Exchanges

Sep 2015, Management Science: Energy Market Group, London Business School. London (United Kingdom).
Sep - Nov 2014, Management Science and Operations Faculty, London Business School. London (United Kingdom).

show 2 international exchanges

Invited Conferences and Seminars

Presentation "Medium-term probabilistic forecasting of electricity prices: a hybrid approach" 2016 Seminar for Next Generation of Researchers in Power Systems - 10th Anniversary. University of Manchester. Manchester (United Kingdom). May 2016.
Conference "Predicción de precios extremadamente bajos en mercados eléctricos: aplicación al caso español" 8th Workshop on Industrial Systems and Energy Technologies - JOSITE'2012. Instituto de Investigación Tecnológica. Universidad Pontificia Comillas. Madrid (Spain). Jul 2012.

show 2 invited conferences and seminars

Working Papers

show 7 working papers

External Training Courses

show 2 external training courses

External Relevant Positions

Editor at "Operation, regulation and planning of power and natural gas systems" MDPI. Basel (Switzerland). Dec 2020.
Editor at "Operation, Regulation and Planning of Power and Natural Gas Systems" [Special issue]. Energies. MDPI AG. Basel (Switzerland). May 2020.
Assistant in organizing the Workshop «Risk and time series methods for electricity prices and asset performance» London Business School. London (United Kingdom). Nov 2014.

show 3 external relevant positions

Fellowships and Awards

«Short-term wind power forecasting by a long short term memory ensemble approach» "Best paper on the 13th International Renewable Energy Congress. Session: Wind and Hybrid Energies". IREC 2022 Organising Committee. Hammamet (Tunisia). Dec 2022.
Fellowship "Erasmus Scholarship «Teachers / Researcher» Training". London Business School. London (United Kingdom). Sep 2015.

show 2 fellowships and awards

Other Activities

Doctoral Defense Committee of "Moreno Alonso, P. « Contributions to the analysis and forecasting of oil prices»". Universidad Pontificia Comillas. Madrid (Spain). Nov 2024.
Doctoral Defense Committee of "Moreno Carbonell, S. «Multi-region probabilistic electric load forecasting using coherent temperature scenarios »". Universidad Pontificia Comillas. Madrid (Spain). Oct 2023.

show 2 other activities