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Economic impact of forecasting errors in residual reserve curves in the day-ahead scheduling of pumped storage plants

M. Chazarra, J.I. Pérez-Díaz, J. García-González, A. Helseth

The economic impact of forecasting errors in the residual demand curves of the secondary regulation reserve market is analysed in the context of the operation of a closed-loop and daily-cycle pumped-storage hydropower plant. The plant participates in the day-ahead energy market as a price-taker and in the secondary regulation reserve market as a price-maker. The secondary regulation energy due to the real-time use of the committed reserves is also considered in the optimization model. The results show that profit is significantly more sensitive to forecast errors in the day-ahead energy market prices than in the residual demand curves of the secondary regulation reserve market.


Palabras clave: Pumped-Storage Plant, Secondary Regulation Service, Residual Reserve Curve Forecasting, Value of Perfect Information.

12th PowerTech Conference, Mánchester, Inglaterra (Reino Unido). 18 junio 2017

Fecha de publicación: junio 2017.



Cita:
M. Chazarra, J.I. Pérez-Díaz, J. García-González, A. Helseth, Economic impact of forecasting errors in residual reserve curves in the day-ahead scheduling of pumped storage plants, 12th PowerTech Conference - PowerTech 2017. Mánchester, Reino Unido, 18-22 Junio 2017


    Líneas de investigación:
  • *Programación de la Operación a Corto Plazo, Elaboración de Ofertas y Análisis de Reservas de Operación

IIT-17-126A

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