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Modeling generation expansion in the context of a security of supply mechanism based on long-term auctions. Application to the Colombian case

P. Rodilla, C. Batlle, J. Salazar, J.J. Sánchez

Energy Policy Vol. 39, nº. 1, pp. 176 - 186

Summary:

In an attempt to provide electricity generation investors with appropriate economic incentives so as to maintain quality of supply at socially optimal levels, a growing number of electricity market regulators have opted for implementing a security of supply mechanism based on long-term auctions. In this context, the ability to analyze long-term investment dynamics is a key issue not only for market agents, but also for regulators. This paper describes a model developed to serve this purpose. A general system-dynamics-inspired methodology has been designed to be able to simulate these long-term auction mechanisms in the formats presently in place. A full-scale simulation based on the Colombian system was conducted to illustrate model capabilities.


Keywords: Security ofsupply; Long-term auctions; Electricity marketmodeling


JCR Impact Factor and WoS quartile: 2,723 - Q1 (2011); 9,000 - Q1 (2022)

DOI reference: DOI icon https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2010.09.027

Published on paper: January 2011.

Published on-line: October 2010.



Citation:
P. Rodilla, C. Batlle, J. Salazar, J.J. Sánchez Modeling generation expansion in the context of a security of supply mechanism based on long-term auctions. Application to the Colombian case. Energy Policy. Vol. 39, nº. 1, pp. 176 - 186, January 2011. [Online: October 2010]


    Research topics:
  • *Energy markets design and regulation

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