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A model based in numerical simulation techniques as a tool for decision- making and risk management in a wholesale electricity market. Part I: General structure and scenario generators.

C. Batlle, I. Otero-Novas, J. Alba, C. Meseguer, J. Barquín

PMAPS2000: 6th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, Funchal (Portugal). 25 septiembre 2000


Resumen:
Changes in the electricity industry have lead to less regulated and more competitive energy market where risk management becomes a key issue. Decision-making and Risk analysis in a competitive environment require powerful simulation models to assess alternatives and evaluate risks. These simulation tools have to be adapted to the peculiarities of the wholesale electricity markets. With this aim, a model based on numerical simulation techniques is presented in two parts. This first part includes a general overview of the model structure and a description of the scenario generators that are developed to represent some of the risk factors. In the second part, the imbedded market model is presented in detail.


Palabras clave: Marginal price, decision-making, risk management, agent’s behavior, operational constraints, risk factors, scenario analysis.


Fecha de publicación: septiembre 2000.



Cita:
C. Batlle, I. Otero-Novas, J. Alba, C. Meseguer, J. Barquín, A model based in numerical simulation techniques as a tool for decision- making and risk management in a wholesale electricity market. Part I: General structure and scenario generators, PMAPS2000: 6th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, Funchal (Portugal). 25-28 Septiembre 2000. ISBN: 972-95194-1-2

IIT-00-104A

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