Dr. Antonio Bello Morales

Current position:

Research Associate Professor

Research Area:

Energy Systems Models

Association date:

01/Sep/2010

Location:

SM26. D-204

Phone extension number:

+34 91 542-2800 ext. 2716

Email:

antonio.bello@iit.comillas.edu

ORCID:

Researcher ID:

Google Scholar ID:

SCOPUS:

ResearchGate:

IEEE:

LinkedIn:

Biography:

Antonio Bello is a Researcher at the Institute for Research in Technology (IIT) of ICAI School of Engineering at Comillas Pontifical University. Antonio holds an Industrial Engineering degree, a MSc degree in Electric Power Systems and a Ph.D. degree in Electrical Engineering from the Comillas Pontifical University-ICAI, with a dissertation about probabilistic forecasting of electricity prices, defended in 2016. Throughout his career, he has participated in over 100 research and consultancy projects dealing with operation, simulation models, planning of electricity and gas markets, energy forecasting and risk management support. Besides his research activities, he teaches time series analysis and forecasting in the energy sector. He has published numerous papers in national and international journals and conference proceedings on these topics. Antonio Bello has been a visiting researcher at London Business School (London-United Kingdom).

Areas of interest:

Risk management support, energy forecasting, energy market modelling, planning of electricity and gas markets, artificial intelligence.

Journal Publications

Marulanda, G., Cifuentes, J., Bello, A., Reneses, J. A hybrid model based on LSTM neural networks with attention mechanism for short-term wind power forecasting. Wind Engineering. SJR: 0,435 Q2 (2022) In press: August 2023.
Marulanda, G., Bello, A., Reneses, J. Modeling wind energy imbalance risk in medium-term generation planning models: a methodological proposal for large scale applications. International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems. Vol. 157, pp. 109889-1 - 109889-13, June 2024. [Online: February 2024] JCR: 5,200 Q1 (2022) - SJR: 1,533 Q1 (2022)
Montero, L., Bello, A., Reneses, J., Rodríguez, M. A computationally efficient formulation to accurately represent start-up costs in the medium-term unit commitment problem. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems. Vol. 38, nº. 6, pp. 5623 - 5634, November 2023. [Online: December 2022] JCR: 6,600 Q1 (2022) - SJR: 3,726 Q1 (2022)
Orgaz, A., Bello, A., Reneses, J. Modeling storage systems in electricity markets with high shares of renewable generation: a daily clustering approach. International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems. Vol. 137, pp. 107706-1 - 107706-11, May 2022. [Online: November 2021] JCR: 5,200 Q1 (2022); - SJR: 1,533 Q1 (2022);
Orgaz, A., Bello, A., Reneses, J. Temporal aggregation for large-scale multi-area power system models. IET Generation Transmission & Distribution. Vol. 16, nº. 6, pp. 1108 - 1121, March 2022. [Online: December 2021] JCR: 2,500 Q3 (2022); - SJR: 0,981 Q1 (2022);
Montero, L., Bello, A., Reneses, J. A review on the unit commitment problem: approaches, techniques, and resolution methods. Energies. Vol. 15, nº. 4, pp. 1296-1 - 1296-40, February 2022. [Online: February 2022] JCR: 3,200 Q3 (2022); - SJR: 0,632 Q1 (2022);
Marcos, R., Bunn, D.W., Bello, A., Reneses, J. Short-term electricity price forecasting with recurrent regimes and structural breaks. Energies. Vol. 13, nº. 20, pp. 5452-1 - 5452-14, October 2020. [Online: October 2020] JCR: 3,004 Q3 (2020); 3,200 Q3 (2022) - SJR: 0,598 Q2 (2020); 0,632 Q1 (2022)
Cifuentes, J., Marulanda, G., Bello, A., Reneses, J. Air temperature forecasting using machine learning techniques: a review. Energies. Vol. 13, nº. 16, pp. 4215-1 - 4215-28, August 2020. [Online: August 2020] JCR: 3,004 Q3 (2020); 3,200 Q3 (2022) - SJR: 0,598 Q2 (2020); 0,632 Q1 (2022)
Marulanda, G., Bello, A., Cifuentes, J., Reneses, J. Wind power long-term scenario generation considering spatial-temporal dependencies in coupled electricity markets. Energies. Vol. 13, nº. 13, pp. 3427-1 - 3427-19, July 2020. [Online: July 2020] JCR: 3,004 Q3 (2020); 3,200 Q3 (2022) - SJR: 0,598 Q2 (2020); 0,632 Q1 (2022)
Montero, L., Bello, A., Reneses, J. A new methodology to obtain a feasible thermal operation in power systems in a medium-term horizon. Energies. Vol. 13, nº. 12, pp. 3056-1 - 3056-17, June 2020. [Online: June 2020] JCR: 3,004 Q3 (2020); 3,200 Q3 (2022) - SJR: 0,598 Q2 (2020); 0,632 Q1 (2022)
Orgaz, A., Bello, A., Reneses, J. A new model to simulate local market power in a multi-area electricity market: application to the European case. Energies. Vol. 12, nº. 11, pp. 2068-1 - 2068-15, June 2019. [Online: May 2019] JCR: 2,702 Q3 (2019); 3,200 Q3 (2022) - SJR: 0,635 Q2 (2019); 0,632 Q1 (2022)
Marcos, R., Bello, A., Reneses, J. Short-term electricity price forecasting with a composite fundamental-econometric hybrid methodology. Energies. Vol. 12, nº. 6, pp. 1067-1 - 1067-15, March 2019. [Online: March 2019] JCR: 2,702 Q3 (2019); 3,200 Q3 (2022) - SJR: 0,635 Q2 (2019); 0,632 Q1 (2022)
Marcos, R., Bello, A., Reneses, J. Electricity price forecasting in the short term hybridising fundamental and econometric modelling. Electric Power Systems Research. Vol. 167, pp. 240 - 251, February 2019. [Online: November 2018] JCR: 3,211 Q2 (2019); 3,900 Q2 (2022) - SJR: 1,042 Q1 (2019); 1,099 Q1 (2022)
Vallés, M., Bello, A., Reneses, J., Frías, P. Probabilistic characterization of electricity consumer responsiveness to economic incentives. Applied Energy. Vol. 216, pp. 296 - 310, April 2018. [Online: February 2018] JCR: 8,426 Q1 (2018); 11,200 Q1 (2022) - SJR: Q1 (2018); 2,907 Q1 (2022)
Bello, A., Bunn, D.W., Reneses, J., Muñoz, A. Medium-term probabilistic forecasting of electricity prices: a hybrid approach. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems. Vol. 32, nº. 1, pp. 334 - 343, January 2017. [Online: April 2016] JCR: 5,255 Q1 (2017); 6,600 Q1 (2022) - SJR: Q1 (2017); 3,726 Q1 (2022)
Bello, A., Bunn, D.W., Reneses, J., Muñoz, A. Parametric density recalibration of a fundamental market model to forecast electricity prices. Energies. Vol. 9, nº. 11, pp. 959-1 - 959-15, November 2016. [Online: November 2016] JCR: 2,262 Q3 (2016); 3,200 Q3 (2022) - SJR: Q1 (2016); 0,632 Q1 (2022)
Bello, A., Reneses, J., Muñoz, A., Delgadillo, A.R. Probabilistic forecasting of hourly electricity prices in the medium-term using spatial interpolation techniques. International Journal of Forecasting. Vol. 32, nº. 3, pp. 966 - 980, September 2016. [Online: September 2015] JCR: Q1 (2016); 7,900 Q1 (2022) - SJR: Q1 (2016); 1,972 Q1 (2022)
Bello, A., Reneses, J., Muñoz, A. Medium-term probabilistic forecasting of extremely low prices in electricity markets: application to the Spanish case. Energies. Vol. 9, nº. 3, pp. 193-1 - 193-27, March 2016. [Online: March 2016] JCR: 2,262 Q3 (2016); 3,200 Q3 (2022) - SJR: Q1 (2016); 0,632 Q1 (2022)

show 18 journal publications

Projects

show 113 projects

Ph.D. Thesis

show 5 Ph.D. Thesis

Conference Papers

show 20 conference papers

International Exchanges

Sep 2015, Management Science: Energy Market Group, London Business School. London (United Kingdom).
Sep - Nov 2014, Management Science and Operations Faculty, London Business School. London (United Kingdom).

show 2 international exchanges

Invited Conferences and Seminars

Presentation "Medium-term probabilistic forecasting of electricity prices: a hybrid approach" 2016 Seminar for Next Generation of Researchers in Power Systems - 10th Anniversary. University of Manchester. Manchester (United Kingdom). May 2016.
Conference "Predicción de precios extremadamente bajos en mercados eléctricos: aplicación al caso español" 8th Workshop on Industrial Systems and Energy Technologies - JOSITE'2012. Instituto de Investigación Tecnológica. Universidad Pontificia Comillas. Madrid (Spain). Jul 2012.

show 2 invited conferences and seminars

Working Papers

show 3 working papers

External Training Courses

Course on applied statistics for forecasting wind and solar power production. Carried out for G-ADVISORY. Jun/2016-Jul/2016

show 1 external training courses

External Relevant Positions

Editor at "Energies. Special Issue "Operation, Regulation and Planning of Power and Natural Gas Systems"" MDPI AG. Basel (Switzerland). May 2020.
Assistant in organizing the Workshop «Risk and time series methods for electricity prices and asset performance» London Business School. London (United Kingdom). Nov 2014.

show 2 external relevant positions

Fellowships and Awards

«Short-term wind power forecasting by a long short term memory ensemble approach» "Best paper on the 13th International Renewable Energy Congress. Session: Wind and Hybrid Energies". IREC 2022 Organising Committee. Hammamet (Tunisia). Dec 2022.
Fellowship "Erasmus Scholarship «Teachers / Researcher» Training". London Business School. London (United Kingdom). Sep 2015.

show 2 fellowships and awards

Other Activities

Doctoral Defense Committee of "Moreno Carbonell, S. «Multi-region probabilistic electric load forecasting using coherent temperature scenarios »". Universidad Pontificia Comillas. Madrid (Spain). Oct 2023.

show 1 other activities

Dr. Antonio Bello Morales

Journal Publications

Marulanda, G., Cifuentes, J., Bello, A., Reneses, J. A hybrid model based on LSTM neural networks with attention mechanism for short-term wind power forecasting. Wind Engineering. SJR: 0,435 Q2 (2022) In press: August 2023.

Orgaz, A., Bello, A., Reneses, J. Temporal aggregation for large-scale multi-area power system models. IET Generation Transmission & Distribution. Vol. 16, nº. 6, pp. 1108 - 1121, March 2022. [Online: December 2021] JCR: 2,500 Q3 (2022); - SJR: 0,981 Q1 (2022);

Montero, L., Bello, A., Reneses, J. A review on the unit commitment problem: approaches, techniques, and resolution methods. Energies. Vol. 15, nº. 4, pp. 1296-1 - 1296-40, February 2022. [Online: February 2022] JCR: 3,200 Q3 (2022); - SJR: 0,632 Q1 (2022);

Marcos, R., Bunn, D.W., Bello, A., Reneses, J. Short-term electricity price forecasting with recurrent regimes and structural breaks. Energies. Vol. 13, nº. 20, pp. 5452-1 - 5452-14, October 2020. [Online: October 2020] JCR: 3,004 Q3 (2020); 3,200 Q3 (2022) - SJR: 0,598 Q2 (2020); 0,632 Q1 (2022)

Cifuentes, J., Marulanda, G., Bello, A., Reneses, J. Air temperature forecasting using machine learning techniques: a review. Energies. Vol. 13, nº. 16, pp. 4215-1 - 4215-28, August 2020. [Online: August 2020] JCR: 3,004 Q3 (2020); 3,200 Q3 (2022) - SJR: 0,598 Q2 (2020); 0,632 Q1 (2022)

Montero, L., Bello, A., Reneses, J. A new methodology to obtain a feasible thermal operation in power systems in a medium-term horizon. Energies. Vol. 13, nº. 12, pp. 3056-1 - 3056-17, June 2020. [Online: June 2020] JCR: 3,004 Q3 (2020); 3,200 Q3 (2022) - SJR: 0,598 Q2 (2020); 0,632 Q1 (2022)

Marcos, R., Bello, A., Reneses, J. Short-term electricity price forecasting with a composite fundamental-econometric hybrid methodology. Energies. Vol. 12, nº. 6, pp. 1067-1 - 1067-15, March 2019. [Online: March 2019] JCR: 2,702 Q3 (2019); 3,200 Q3 (2022) - SJR: 0,635 Q2 (2019); 0,632 Q1 (2022)

Vallés, M., Bello, A., Reneses, J., Frías, P. Probabilistic characterization of electricity consumer responsiveness to economic incentives. Applied Energy. Vol. 216, pp. 296 - 310, April 2018. [Online: February 2018] JCR: 8,426 Q1 (2018); 11,200 Q1 (2022) - SJR: Q1 (2018); 2,907 Q1 (2022)

Bello, A., Bunn, D.W., Reneses, J., Muñoz, A. Parametric density recalibration of a fundamental market model to forecast electricity prices. Energies. Vol. 9, nº. 11, pp. 959-1 - 959-15, November 2016. [Online: November 2016] JCR: 2,262 Q3 (2016); 3,200 Q3 (2022) - SJR: Q1 (2016); 0,632 Q1 (2022)

Projects

Ph.D. Thesis

Developed:

Supervised:

In progress:

G. Marulanda García, Analysis of policy strategies for renewable energy integration in multi-area electricity markets. Universidad Pontificia Comillas. Madrid (España).

L. Montero Guirao, Improving medium-term models to deal with the low-carbon reality of modern power systems. Universidad Pontificia Comillas. Madrid (España).

Conference Papers